Defence and strategic analyst Dr Joan Swart unpacks the latest developments in the US-Iran conflict, the impact on global markets and the possibility of prolonged tensions
By Mapaballo Borotho

The conflict between the United States and Iran has continued to affect global markets, with oil prices expected to rise amid uncertainty over whether peace talks will succeed.
According to media reports, negotiations between the two countries remain at a standstill, with conflicting statements emerging from both sides.
US President Donald Trump said talks were continuing, while Iran’s Foreign Ministry said no negotiations were underway.
On Point of View, Phemelo Motene spoke to Defence and Strategic Analyst Dr Joan Swart about the latest developments in the conflict as Washington pauses its strikes to allow room for diplomatic efforts.
They also unpacked wider regional tensions, the impact on global markets and Cuba’s accusation that the US is pursuing a takeover of the island.
Swart said the pause in hostilities does not mean both countries have reached common ground.
“It has only been 48 hours of relative quietness, and to be quite honest, I was expecting some kind of a large attack or ground invasion from the US, which did not happen. But I am hoping for a discontinuation for some while,” she said.
She said Trump’s public stance could be influenced by his reputation and political image, adding that he would not openly admit defeat but that she hopes the hostility towards Iran will decrease.
Swart said the conflict could potentially remain paused until the midterm elections.
“Netanyahu also has elections in October/November, so maybe they will drag this out until the elections have been settled,” she added.
She said one of the challenges with the United States’ foreign policy approach is that the country often positions itself as a global leader and has not yet reached a point where it is willing to step back.
Listen to the podcast for the full conversation
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